The more I think about a Trump-Putin summit, the more I believe that it should focus on Syria. If reports this morning are true (which they likely are not), that Trump doesn't want to run in 2020 but would rather get the job done, whatever that means, in one term, then this is absolutely the … Continue reading Pre-Putin Summit Positioning? U.S. Leaves Syrian Rebels Out to Hang
Angela Merkel is in serious trouble in Germany and pat of the reason why is the U.S.'s insistence on dragging out the war in Syria for no tangible benefit at this point. The net effect of our continued presence there will be to red-pill even more Americans that the Syrian 'Civil War' was a U.S. policy … Continue reading Gold Goats ‘n Guns Live – Merkel’s Road to Hell Goes Through Syria, Will a Trump/Putin Summer Save Her?
It's important for bullies to always win. Because once their weakness is exposed they can no longer be bullies. Empires don't start out as bullies. They start out as the reaction to the last Empire which became a bully after embracing hubris over humility. Empires have to resort to bullying near the end because they … Continue reading Of Carrots, Sticks and How the Empire Fails
I have to say that as much as I don't like the direction Trump's foreign policy has gone, there are still plenty of moments of unbridled joy in watching the man work a crowd. His suggestion of allowing Russia back into the G-7 is one of those moments. Trump has a nearly preternatural way of … Continue reading G-6? 7? 8? How About the Gang That Can’t Shoot Straight?
President Trump is trying to remake U.S. foreign policy such that he can bring the troops home and rule the world through continued financial dominance. In an outstanding article at Strategic Culture Foundation, Alistair Crooke lays out the argument (see link below). Trump will not be successful because of Triffin's Paradox, among other things. The … Continue reading Gold Goats n’ Guns Live – Nordstream 2 and Trump’s Losing Battle Against History
Riffing off of my blog post from earlier today, I go over why Italy's new coalition agreement gives German Chancellor Angela Merkel the opportunity to break with the U.S. on Foreign Policy while saving face with her ever--growing domestic opposition. Also, why the Trump administration is moving down a very dangerous path with its over-the-top … Continue reading Gold Goats ‘n Guns Live – Italy’s New Coalition and Merkel’s Way out of the Middle
Clarity is here in Italian coalition talks. And the markets hate what they see. So does Brussels. Five-year Italian debt blew out over 1%, CDS spreads have moved over 20 basis points in a week. The markets are trying to scare these outsiders now in charge in Italy to soften their stances on reform and … Continue reading Italy is Forming the Epicenter of the EU’s Fateful Shift
At least it is confirmed for us. Donald Trump wants regime change in Iran. His cancellation of the JCPOA was a decision born of his myopia. He has surrounded himself with people who reinforce his view and manipulate him via his vanity. And the price of implementing his current plan will be a global debt … Continue reading Will Trump Torch the Global Economy on the Bonfire of his Vanity?