President Trump is out of options. So are his main vectors of information, the Israeli Firsters in his cabinet and family. Israel, the U.S. and Saudi Arabia have lost the Syrian War and the ramifications of that are immense. Because by losing this war the U.S. has been revealed as a paper tiger incapable of … Continue reading No Peace in Strengthening Iran Sanctions
If you've followed my work for the past year you know that my default position has been there is a potential Grand Bargain for Peace in the Middle East. From the moment President Trump first berated the Arabs in Riyidh last year on his first foreign trip for supporting terrorism, I've felt that the final outcome … Continue reading Grand Bargain Taking Shape? U.S. to Pull Out of al-Tanf
When watching the day-to-day ups and downs of politics it's important to keep all time frames in mind. Today the world is obsessed with Trump's regime change in Iran policy. But, will it matter in the end? No. The reason for this is that while in the short run the U.S. may get what it … Continue reading Gold Goats ‘n Guns Live -India, Turkey Iran and How the U.S. is Losing its Grip
The more I think about a Trump-Putin summit, the more I believe that it should focus on Syria. If reports this morning are true (which they likely are not), that Trump doesn't want to run in 2020 but would rather get the job done, whatever that means, in one term, then this is absolutely the … Continue reading Pre-Putin Summit Positioning? U.S. Leaves Syrian Rebels Out to Hang
I've told you that once you start down the Trade War path forever will it dominate your destiny. Well here we are. Trump slaps big tariffs on aluminum and steel in a bid to leverage Gary Cohn's ICE Wall plan to control the metals and oils futures markets. I'm not sure how much of this … Continue reading China’s Oil Trade Retaliation is Iran’s Gain
I have to say that as much as I don't like the direction Trump's foreign policy has gone, there are still plenty of moments of unbridled joy in watching the man work a crowd. His suggestion of allowing Russia back into the G-7 is one of those moments. Trump has a nearly preternatural way of … Continue reading G-6? 7? 8? How About the Gang That Can’t Shoot Straight?
President Trump is trying to remake U.S. foreign policy such that he can bring the troops home and rule the world through continued financial dominance. In an outstanding article at Strategic Culture Foundation, Alistair Crooke lays out the argument (see link below). Trump will not be successful because of Triffin's Paradox, among other things. The … Continue reading Gold Goats n’ Guns Live – Nordstream 2 and Trump’s Losing Battle Against History
President Trump is stepping up his attack on Iran. He's now planning the long-game for maximum pressure. The news that Trump quietly asked Saudi Arabia to ramp up output by 1 million barrels a day is the key. From the analysis at Oilprice.com: Saudi Arabia and some of its close Arab allies in the Gulf, … Continue reading Next Stage of Pressure on Iran – Lower Oil Prices