From the Notebook posts are expansions of initial thoughts I shared with Patrons previously. This one is from July 9th.
The insane over-reaction from the European Union over Hungary’s “Anti-LGBTQ Propaganda” law is a big tell that Brussels is losing control of the periphery of Europe. It’s also a tell that things have progressed to a point of no return.
This law is extremely popular within Hungary but has sent the EU into absolute apoplexy. Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte (with 22% national support mind you) fulminated so hard at this he demanded Hungary be thrown out of the EU.
Right after that the EU began legal proceedings against Hungary to gain leverage over them. But, this was never about equality for Hungarian furries. This was always about the next step in the EU’s plans, as conceived by Davos, to force a legislative agenda through the European Council which would in turn force the world further onto the EU’s standards for combatting Climate Change.
If you doubt that look no further than this morning’s headlines:
“Yesterday, to much fanfare the EU unveiled an absurd set of climate change and emissions targets for 2030 which will transform every corner of its economy. As part of the plan, every industry would be forced to accelerate its shift away from fossil fuels in order to cut pollution by at least 55% from 1990 levels by 2030. To achieve that, the bloc will bring new industries such as shipping into what’s already the world’s largest carbon market; ban all new combustion-engine cars by 2035; impose new costs on dirty home heating; and force the aviation industry to emit less and pay more.”
Zerohedge is right. These targets are absurd, purposefully so. The irony of course is that the biggest enemies of the Green New Deal are actually Greens themselves. Since they are so lost in their own religious and ideological fervor just three months ago the reports were that the European Parliament fell to vicious in-fighting over the definitions of which industries and technologies would even be considered “Green.” In the post linked above for my Patrons back in March I said as much:
So much of the ‘culture war’ which is now turning into a Hobbesian “War of All Against All” is due to the spiraling of logic built on false premises, like man-made global warming, and amplifying from there.
W.B. Yeats called it a ‘widening gyre’ but that’s why the EU will never get its Green investment rules set in place and certainly not in time for the 2030 time frame. Remember, I think of the EU as the Western Oligarchs’ last attempt to colonize the world through regulatory dominance a la California.
The relentless talk of expanding the EU is all about bringing more countries under its regulatory rubric forcing more people to adhere to its standards which then increases the pressure on trade partners to do the same.
It’s California on Leninist Steroids.
Controlling the descent into madness born of logic and rationality isn’t possible when operating at the scale these people are. It’s one thing to control your own descent into madness it’s quite another to ride herd over a few hundred million people all with disparate definitions of what it means to be Green.
I’ve been in the room with this. I’m not proud to say that I spent two hours at a Libertarian Party of Florida convention arguing over the placement of a comma versus a semi-colon.
That was the last time I went to one.
With aspects of the Great Reset running head first into opposition it cannot overcome, the only thing left for the EU and Davos to do is continue forward, double down and believe they have the strength and ability to see this through to the end.
Believe me, Viktor Orban understands this perfectly. The problem for Orban is simply this. Hungary is a land-locked country of just 11 million people. Standing up to the ‘might’ of the EU is immensely difficult because of this. It has informed so much of his foreign policy and his dealings with the EU, trying to court friends out of the EU’s enemies and keep his enemies within the EU placated.
Unfortunately for Orban, he’s likely run out of road here and will have to choose a path forward.
This is why every move Orban and others in his position make, namely Aleksander Vucic of Serbia, has to be in service of providing economic and fiscal autonomy to their countries, stitching them to the rest of the world.
The EC knows that the entire Visegrad-4, the Balkans and Poland are simply not down with the ‘gay’ to the extent that the Germans are. Don’t kid yourself, the EU promotes these ‘core values’ not for any deeply-felt solidarity with homosexuals and angry bottoms but because it seeks to undermine the culture of local populations.
Tim Kirby’s recent article on the cultural resistance to Davos and Brussels in the Visegrads is well worth your time.
The Hungarians passing some bill to ever so partially block LGBT, with the Poles trying shenanigans of their own with praise from an elderly Czech president may not sound that important, especially to those living in countries that have a more normal view on gender roles. However, we cannot ignore that for the Western elites LGBT is a core inarguable dogma. This is something that the EU takes dead serious and is a core element of their agenda.
Every corporation, every embassy, every school and every advertisement over the last 10 years has become increasingly rainbow ridden. The LGBT movement is vastly louder in its promotion from the West than Capitalism or Democracy ever were during the Cold War. Gay parade promotion has become a symbols of Westernness and Globalism and are a real foreign policy objective for the USA/EU. The push is on and has been on for quite some time. As we have seen standing up against this movement in the west is essentially career suicide at the least. This article does not use the terms “heresy” and “blasphemy” to be cute, this is really the dynamic at play – a zealous and extreme hatred of the family and traditional gender roles that has zero tolerance of any thoughts or actions to the contrary.
I don’t disagree with Kirby that the EU are full of religious fervor. I just think it’s in service of globalism and communism, not ‘the gay.’ Gay rights is a tactic within the strategic goal of breaking down societal norms to break the bonds of local communities. It’s about atomization of people into individual, cultureless, deracinated units without hope of winning or any ability to trust anyone else. It’s all in service to the bigger plan.
It’s certainly not in any way beneficial to actual gay people.
The goal is the “New Davos Man” who is a metrosexual slave version of the “New Soviet Man.” This is what shitlibs mean when they say real communism hasn’t been tried yet. They really think they can rebuild us through social engineering and the femininization of men into something more noble by making us completely inhuman degenerates… like them.
Good luck with that.
Men like Viktor Orban and Vladimir Putin, whatever their faults from a doctrinaire libertarian point of view, understand this deeply. They also understand that humanity’s ability to withstand real tyranny, not the petty tyranny of a loose Federalist state like Russia’s, comes from the strength of its local communities and the bonds between people.
Hungary, unlike Russia, is much more of a monoculture and therefore harder to breakdown. Russia is a hodgepodge, spanning ten time zones, scores of ethnicities and definitions of community. Putin rules Russia with a firm but open hand, allowing individual republics to govern under different legal structures. Because of this Russia has grown in its resistance to the the Davosian way.
But, back to the main point, Davos’ agents at the top of the EU must make their stand here against Orban and his new ally Milos Zeman of the Czech Republic or risk losing the entirety of Eastern Europe and the Balkans. The EU are betting that Russophobia will keep Poland and the Baltics on the hook and squeeze the Balkans and Hungary into submission.
With Nordstream 2 going in Poland understands what this means for them and they will quickly find themselves trapped, as Kirby points out, between the Fairies on a String (All Hail Frank Zappa.. link is definitely NSFW) in the EU and their shadow projection in the Russians.
Neither of these are psychologically appealing options for the Poles and it’s a shame they are in this position. Because if they can overcome their hatred of Russia long enough to see what’s happening then they become immensely powerful in this brewing conflict between Eastern Europe and the EU itself.
With Orban making his stand here, the entire Green New Deal hangs in the balance here. Which is why the EU is putting as much legal and financial pressure on Hungary that they can.
With the Poles lost in their hatred of Russia, the key to this resistance shifts to Serbia and Orban has identified this as well.
Serbia’s Free Trade Agreement with Putin’s Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) just went into effect. This along with Turkstream’s 2nd train bringing gas to both Hungary and Serbia (as well as Austria) and the new railway stretching from the Greek port at Thessaloniki to the Hungarian border stitches the countries’ futures together, giving them both lifeline to global trade outside of EU control.
Along with Orban is allying with Serbia on key energy and political issues. Paul Antonopoulos weighed in on the subject with an excellent article on Infobrics.org about Orban standing firm on Serbia being added to the European Union or, in effect, he will veto both North Macedonia and Albania’s accession as well as, now, the Green New Deal.
The biggest impact of Orban’s visit was his statement: “I understand Serbia and I think that it should be admitted to the EU because it is the central country of the Western Balkans, without whose accession to the EU there will be no admission for others. Serbia is a key country.”
The EU is attempting to fast-track Albania’s and North Macedonia’s acension into the bloc without any consideration for Serbia despite being the economic powerhouse of the Western Balkans.
The second Orban brought up Serbia’s EU position, lame duck German Chancellor and Davos quisling extraordinaire Angela Merkel brought it up as well. Now she wants the whole of the Balkans. But the EU will never give anyone decent terms so this is a dead offer from the beginning.
Orban realizes it’s now or never to stand up to the EU. He’s become increasingly strident and forceful in his opposition to the EU.
But, go back to what I said at the outset, Hungary is a landlocked country of 11 million people. It is trapped between two vaster powers, the EU and Russia. And the U.S. is now, under Biden/Obama realigned perfectly with Davos. He’s done amazing work balancing the two against each other. But the EU is now doubling down on everything as it tries to go for the big win in the great global game of capital.
Their religious fervor has taken control. They will not be denied without destroying as many as possible to get there.
Expansion of the EU is about regulatory control over global trade. It isn’t about improving our sustainability, guaranteeing human rights or saving the planet. That’s all marketing fluff for the puffers on TikTok. The reality is that we’re putting our future in the hands of people who are…
The EC’s formal charges against Hungary over their furry law is just like other such moves, namely against Poland for its hated Supreme Court recall law. They are forcing the ultimate choice on Hungary because all the EU really has is Article 7 censure and expulsion from the Union as a threat.
The amount of money they are holding as a carrot to Orban in COVID relief funds is just 30 pieces of silver and he knows i.
So, if you play this out to the end, this is where Orban has to go. He must force the EU to do what Mark Rutte said last month, kick them out or back down. The EU need to go forward. Everyday it becomes less and less profitable for Hungary to stay in the EU. The deal for them gets worse all the time.
At that same time the EU is fiddling while its empire burns. Beset on the West by the Fed’s new aggressive monetary policy putting the ECB on its back foot and the East by Russia’s clear military and energy superiority it will not take much to topple the EU while it continues to think it has the power to move the world.
It does have that power, but that movement is away from them not towards them. California is becoming isolated within the U.S., not more integrated. The same goes for the EU as it tries to force everyone to their standard.
The more they push this situation to its breaking point the more they will lose Eastern Europe. Cultural norms are powerful things. The governments elected in these countries reflect these deeply-held core values which cannot be NGO’d away through bribes and propaganda.
Everyday the mask slips a little further. It’s a well understood phenomenon in humans that when you take their religion away from them they will seek out and create another. Global Warming is the new religion for these people, it feeds their anger over a world lorded over by the very worst humanity has to offer but was created by those same people as a means to further enslave them.
It’s pathetic that they can’t see Climate Change is just another big corporatist government program and it doesn’t matter where you place the semi-colon in the new law, the law itself is the actual problem. Orban sees this. Putin does as well. This is why they are today’s Hitlers. Because Commies always despise anyone who stands up for themselves.
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Orban and Hungary need to follow Serbia’s lead and place their economic future with Russia in exchange for energy and credits. Putin and Russia must decrease Poland’s fears by agreeing to the return of Poland’s eastern areas in an agreement to divide up the Ukraine.Russia must guarantee the huge German investments in the Ukraine. Without Poland and Hungary the EU and NATO cannot stop Russia from absorbing the Ukraine.
There is too much corruption, incompetence and self dealing in G7 politics.
Those of us outside the DC beltway (and outside Brussels eurocracy) are much happier and better off when the criminals are bickering over semi-colons.
Please stop raising false hope that a different batch of central planning politicians will improve things for anyone except themselves.
EU, Davos, Washington DC, NATO, UN/WHO…. it’s exactly the same corrupt people, just meeting under different flags/logos.
We need government to focus on semi-colons so they don’t mess up something important.
They are all the same selfish,doublespeaking a.holes.Bravo Hungary!!!Been watching them a bit since they strung out the eu budget taljs over the forced uninvited,nonblending migrants.All part of divide and conquer like the openish s. Border of u.s.a.Invaders and criminals and minimally educated people nobody needs.Tolerance for lgbt,fine whatever,but Hungary Is a country and should seeve Hungarians with their preferred language,holidays,religions,general norms,and laws.Hungary should seek alliance with Russia,Poland,Czechs.Retain your culture and basic family unit.Energy and food/water self-reliance should be focus for yhese countries.Globalism is fragile and serves only a handful of top people/co.s,not smaller biz with all the regulations they cannot afford.Let the gays be in Germany or Netherlands.The Norm for humans is heterosexuality in spite of the Endocrine Disruptors dumped in the environment for Decades.
One quibble: Late stage civilization/empire: e.g., Athenians (vs Spartans); Persians; Romans (vs the virile barbarians); Judeans (see the OT Prophets) and others too numerous to mention, are always all about trying to normalize their unnatural obsession with catamitism–the last stage of urbanitas: the Culture of Narcissism. It isn’t, as you contend here, just another arrow, irrelevant in itself, in the quiver of the Empire of Chaos–it is THE ultimate end and objective of the Imperial March through the Institutions of Perversions. It is also, uncoincidentally, the point where the gods of nature finally, their patience exhausted, draw the line and destroy that city, state or empire.
I would imagine Orban wonders how many LGBTQIIAP+ divisions it might take to overrun Hungary. Let the EU threaten to toss Hungary out, but Hungary’s major trade partner is Germany, which might take a more pragmatic view than Rutte and Brussels on the relationship, since a lot of German autos include component sub-assemblies from Hungary.
Then there is the matter of Danube shipping, which runs through the Hungarian heartland, which means tighter transshipment regulation could seriously impede trade from Germany et al to the eastern periphery in Romania and Bulgaria.
Hungary’s international trade is otherwise roughly in balance, so it is not obvious, aside from losing subsidies, that they would suffer enormously from cutting links to the EU and going back to WTO terms with them.
Tom,
A lot of people have pontificated on what might happen to Saudi Arabia if the world actually goes “net-zero” by whatever date … various polticians and CEOs talk about 2035-2050, in every case a date AFTER that politician or CEO expects to be retired. Lots of people promising that the next guy/gal will magically overcome physics.
Emerging markets have made it very clear they have no intention of remaining 3rd world countries to meet European and Californian political objectives. China is often mentioned, but there are at least a hundred countries that will continue to buy from Saudi Arabia and/or Russia long after Europe freezes to death. The shift of Saudi deliveries from USA/Europe to Asia and Africa (mostly Asia) has already started.
My question is: what happens to Canada? Canada is extremely dependent on fossil fuel revenues (royalties, taxes on Canadian oil companies, taxes on Alberta workers, etc). Sure, Canada his timber and metal mining, but the biggest tax base by leaps and bounds is Canada’s oil industry.
Canada already backed out of the Kyoto accord when it became obvious they would have to eliminate their national health care system (or some other serious spending cut). Oil revenues are that important to Canada.
Trudeau has promised to get rid of all gasoline powered cars in Canada by 2035? Lets not talk about EV battery discharge in cold weather; the laws of physics don’t matter to politicians. The Canadian government is attacking oil pipelines which are required to ship oil to the USA, China or Asia. The pipelines Trudeau has stopped already will have a massive impact on future Canadian budgets. (I think Trudeau even approved a pipeline over objections from his supporters, because money makes Ottawa go ’round)
Canada, not Saudi Arabia, is the country most vulnerable to a significant shift away from oil… especially if the shift is in western countries. Thanks to Trudeau’s mismanagement, its possible Canada collapses before the EU (it will be a tight race).
Am I missing something? Seems like Canada is in really deep trouble
Canada is in very deep trouble. The Saudis need to de-peg their currency from the USD and that would solve most of their problems… Canada, like the UK, no longer has any gold reserves to fall back on so they are extremely vulnerable today.
“Hungary is a land-locked country…”
It would be nice if every nation were surrounded by an international right-of-way, along its borders, in which developers from any country would be free to build roads, railroads, pipelines, electric lines, water lines, sewer lines, walk ways, bike paths, horse trails, hiking trails, etc. – anything that is normally found in a right-of-way.
Rights-of-way enhance trade because they provide access – access to goods and services transported along them – and for people to travel along. Towns spring up along highways as they once did along railroad tracks. If every country were bordered by a sufficiently wide right-of-way for transporting goods and people, there would be no landlocked countries like Hungary and Serbia. Trade would increase dramatically and borders would become long urban rings around many countries.
Additionally, there would be less hostility between nations, as it would more difficult for armies to cross a more inhabited, more urban border. Nations would thus have less to fear from adjacent neighbors.
The major drawback to this would be where the borders are on the tops of mountains. Obviously wouldn’t work at all on the India-China border.
This may be as relevant as semi-colons and colons, but Hungary is also the only landlocked nation in history to have an admiral (Admiral Horthy). I don’t think his working day was very long.
On a more serious note, Tom, you don’t mention one factor that could be important, even fatal for the EU’s green delusions: popular reaction. I believe that the psychopaths behind the New Green Deal know that there will never be enough electricity supply to fuel the 1.5bn EV cars we need to give current car users “cleaner” driving, let alone all the emerging middle classes in India or China demanding their wheels. So, does Joe Sixpack just shrug his shoulders when he can’t get an EV and quietly agree to losing his mobility? The last year has shown have pathetically ovine people are, but I really can’t see people losing one of the great birthrights of modern life just because a creepy, private jet flying lunatic like Kerry or Gates tells them to.
The Kommandant said it plain and simple: “You will know nothing and be happy”.
Thanks Tom that’s a great piece – I really enjoyed reading it.
Which of course tells you I agree with all of it.
And I think if the globalists intended to just keep squeezing remorselessly, in the deluded belief that they can slowly crush their enemies into submission, they would of course fail.
The more they tightened their grip, the more nations would slip through their fingers.
So they won’t do that. They never intended to.
I believe the squeezing is merely designed to sow division and reveal national and supranational leaders as bickering, untrustworthy and incompetent.
Incapable of handling a serious global crisis.
Like the one they are about to trigger.
The one they wargamed at Cyber Polygon.
Globalists are arsonists who have spent years setting small fires so they can portray all the OTHER firemen as untrustworthy morons as we watch them fail to competently tackle them.
So that when they light the big one, we naturally turn to THEM and ask them to extinguish it.
Their price will of course be steep.
All our freedoms.
No,we all know their game,their values-control,$,fancy stuff,we know where some of their land,banks,artwork,planes,etc are.We know these floods and droughts are Manmade weatherwars trying to get people off land,destabilize,drive down land prices,sow fear,starve,and otherwise create chaos.All roads lead to cabal elite a.holes.
Really great expansion of a recent Munchings thank you Tom. Off subject, I can’t remember who, but someone said what’s happening in SA (it’s just another peaceful protest!) is really the death of the dollar. Some say QE was the real genesis of the Arab Spring (food price inflation). The perils of endless worthless fiat currency creation I suppose.
Falseflag that destroys the few remaining smaller biz,food supply and fuel supply damage,further creation of desperate impoverished people.Same play as in Columbia and Cuba.All contrived and probably funded by soros/r.child cabal.
Is orban pressed to take action now? Article 7 is a long process, like everything else in the EU. They were harshing on Hungary and Poland several years ago, to negligible effect. The Balkan applicants have been treading water for well over a decade waiting for admission to the cool kids club, while the Eurasian club is beckoning, signup bonuses,etc. The EU needs new blood to pay the bills, and those bills get shared, if Hungary (not broke) or Italy (beyond really broke) pulls out, whoever’s left has to cover the viggorish. Certainly not about who or what sleeps with who or what. Historically the Balkans have been cat’s pawed by the bigger kids since the nineteenth century, and they may be tired of it. If the jocks kick your ass enough you start hanging out with the freaks because maybe they won’t.
If the Chinese and the Russians exploit this grievance as they seem to be doing with developmental funding, the EU itself could be isolated, weakened, and eventually coopted. It’s possible. And a good strategy regardless of the long-term outcome. Brussels may not believe it’s possible. Does the EU think it’s so special that everybody else will crave admission because they’re wonderful? It started as a cooperative venture amongst equals, except the newest coaching plays favorites. Supposed to facilitate trade, seems to be doing the opposite. As you say, they have no choice but to plow ahead, and hide every euro they steal. They know what’s coming. Any hesitancy and they’re doomed. Orban should sit tight, ignoring Brussels and wait for the East to dispense largesse. He’s got more friends than he knows. And more to sell. Just my thoughts.
You’re right about R.E.M. Saw them April 82(Hot Klub, Dallas, with the Telefones) and 89(UNO Lakefront, with my wife). They were a great live act, lost their way in the 90’s.
Rick,
Those are all excellent points and I think Orban is smart to play the EU like he has at this moment in time. The EU think theyare forcing a choice on Orban when it’s actually the other way around and everyone actually knows it.
All that they have now are threats and ham-fisted attempts at color revolutions.
Hi Tom,
I sooo want to be a subscriber of yours – love your writing and thought process. Hate hate hate Patreon. As a former subscriber of yours, they tacked EU taxes on my monthly bill, regardless of the fact that my registration with Patreon was a US address. (I accessed your site via my European vpn so was taxed according to my ip address – I feel like Hungary!!). My complaints fell upon Patreon’s deaf ears – no refund of EU taxes so I canceled. Please find a second way for users to subscribe!!
Thanks.
I have alternate ways. Send me enail at tom dot luongo at outlook dot com