When watching the day-to-day ups and downs of politics it’s important to keep all time frames in mind. Today the world is obsessed with Trump’s regime change in Iran policy.
But, will it matter in the end?
No. The reason for this is that while in the short run the U.S. may get what it wants — the Mullahs overthrown — but it won’t lead to its preferred state of affairs. Today’s stream, shorter and more focused, reminds us that the things that happen today cannot affect the unfolding long term trends.
These events are a lot of noise while the broader sweep of China’s rise, Russia’s re-emergence will overwhelm the infighting of the West which will ultimately culminate in Eurasian integration.
Countries like Turkey and India understand this and will negotiate for the best deals for themselves by playing everyone off of each other. They have all the leverage in the long run even if it means some political and economic pain in the short run.
Turkey and India Have Leverage in Trump’s Iran Sanction War
Trump Called on his Saudi Arabia Tweet about 2 million barrels a day
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-07-01/white-house-saudi-arabia-pour-cold-water-trumps-saudi-deal-boast
Turkey and India Will Continue Buying Iranian Oil
https://www.rferl.org/a/turkey-says-wont-honor-us-demand-stop-buying-iranian-oil-haley-india-modi/29324777.html
More Pre-Positioning Dividends –Ukraine Stops Shelling Donbass
http://tass.com/world/1011575
Yuge Change in Syria — SDF Turning Raqqa over to Damascus?
https://southfront.org/syrian-democratic-forces-may-handover-raqqa-city-to-damascus-government-report/
No Sanctions Due to Nordstream 2
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